Today’s US data will significantly impact the price of gold. 28-1-2025


Positive US Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Confidence Data generally signal a strong economy, which often leads to a decline in gold prices. Both indicators highlight economic optimism, reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.



Today’s given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16774



Factors Affecting the Data Releases

  1. Durable Goods Orders:
    • Business and Consumer Spending: High durable goods orders reflect strong spending on big-ticket items like appliances, machinery, and vehicles.
    • Interest Rates: Lower borrowing costs drive higher investment in durable goods.
    • Global Trade Conditions: Increased exports of durable goods boost overall order volumes.
  2. Consumer Confidence Index:
    • Job Market Stability: Confidence rises when unemployment is low, indicating economic strength.
    • Income Growth: Increased consumer income encourages spending, reflecting higher confidence.
    • Inflation Expectations: If inflation is stable or declining, confidence tends to improve.


Effect on Gold Prices

  1. Stronger US Dollar:
    • Positive Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence data strengthen the US dollar as they boost economic sentiment. A strong dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign investors, reducing demand.
  2. Higher Treasury Yields:
    • Economic optimism often leads to tighter Federal Reserve policies, increasing Treasury yields and making non-yielding gold less attractive.
  3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand:
    • As confidence in the economy grows, investors shift to riskier assets like equities, reducing gold’s appeal.


Historical Trend Analysis (Last 10 Years)

Durable Goods Orders (Billion USD):

  • 2020: $290.1B (pandemic drop)
  • 2021: $320.5B (rebound)
  • 2023: $315.4B (stabilized)

Consumer Confidence Index:

  • 2018: 128.5 (peak confidence)
  • 2020: 85.7 (pandemic low)
  • 2023: 102.5 (moderate recovery)


Previous released data results :


On last U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Data (23-12-2024) we predicted good data, as per that we suggest to SELL XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 31 points according to the signal we gave.

Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16479

Performance : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16494


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