Analysis: Based on US Jolts Opening data – 4-2-2025


On February 2, 2025, the US JOLTS Job Openings data came in higher than expected, indicating a strong labor market. This data has a bearish impact on gold (XAUUSD) as it reinforces economic strength, reduces recession fears, and increases expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve, strengthening the US dollar and Treasury yields, both of which put downward pressure on gold prices.



Today’s given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16858



Why Higher JOLTS Job Openings Impact Gold Prices?

  1. Stronger Labor Market Signals Economic Growth
    • An increase in job openings suggests businesses are expanding and hiring, which supports overall economic growth.
    • Example: If JOLTS openings rise from 9.2M to 9.8M, it signals higher labor demand, reducing the need for economic stimulus.
  2. Expectations of Higher Interest Rates
    • A strong job market gives the Federal Reserve room to maintain higher interest rates to control inflation.
    • Higher rates increase Treasury yields, making bonds more attractive than gold, which does not offer interest.
  3. Stronger US Dollar Reduces Gold Demand
    • A strong economy and higher rates boost the US Dollar Index (DXY), making gold more expensive for international buyers.

Example: A 0.6% rise in the DXY typically causes a 1-1.5% decline in gold prices


What Causes Strong JOLTS Job Openings Data?

✅ Factors Behind High JOLTS Job Openings:

  • Business Expansion: Companies hire due to increased consumer demand.
  • Government Spending: Infrastructure projects and fiscal stimulus drive job creation.
  • Lower Interest Rates (Previously): Past monetary easing encouraged hiring.


❌ Factors That Can Weaken JOLTS Data:

  • Recession Fears: Businesses freeze hiring.
  • Higher Interest Rates: Tighter monetary policy slows expansion.



On last Jolts Opening data (7-1-2025) we predicted higher data, & as per that we suggest to SELL XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 27 points according to the signal we gave.

Check the previous blog : https://blog.forextrade1.co/forecasting-gold-trends-in-based-on-us-non-ism-manufacturing-jolts-job-opening-data-7-1-2025/

Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16501
Performance : https://t.me/calendarsignal/16511



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