Today’s strong US CPI (inflation firmer than markets hoped) alongside solid GDP growth reinforces a “higher-for-longer” interest-rate path. That typically lifts the USD and real Treasury yields, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Net effect: bearish pressure on XAU/USD unless a risk-off shock intervenes.
Today’s given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/21577
Why Today’s CPI and GDP Look “Good”
CPI (Inflation) drivers
- Sticky services inflation: Shelter, health, insurance and education prices still rising faster than goods.
- Energy & transport pass-through: Recent fuel and freight costs flowed into consumer prices.
- Wage support: A still-firm labor market keeps unit labor costs elevated, buoying services inflation.
- Demand resilience: Consumers continue to spend on experiences and durables, enabling firms to pass costs.
- Base effects: Softer prints a year ago mechanically lift YoY comparisons.
GDP (Growth) drivers
- Consumer strength: Real consumption remains positive, especially in services and big-ticket categories.
- Business investment: Factory orders/capex and inventories contribute to topline growth.
- Public outlays: Infrastructure and industrial-policy spending underpin activity.
- Exports: Better global demand/supply-chain normalization help net trade.
How Strong CPI & GDP Transmit to Gold
- Real yields ↑ → Gold ↓: Hot CPI + firm GDP reduce rate-cut odds; real yields rise, hurting gold.
- USD ↑ → Gold ↓: Strong US data supports the dollar, making USD-priced gold costlier for non-USD buyers.
- Risk appetite ↔: If growth looks healthy, safe-haven demand for gold fades—unless a shock revives it.
Previous released data results :
On last CPI data (24-10-2025) we predicted bad CPI data, & as per that we suggest to BUY XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 183 points according to the signal we gave.
Check the previous blog : https://blog.forextrade1.co/gold-in-turmoil-cpi-report-rocks-the-market-11-september-2025/
Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/21140
Performance : https://t.me/calendarsignal/21178
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