​Gold Faces Volatility as US S&P & ISM Data Hits the Market – 01 April 2025


On April 1, 2025, the United States released key economic indicators: the S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI. Both reports indicated a contraction in the manufacturing sector, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI registering at 49.8, below the previous month’s 52.7, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 49.5, down from 50.3 in February.



Today’s given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/17708



Reasons for the Contraction:

  1. Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues have hindered manufacturing output, leading to decreased PMI readings.​
  2. Reduced New Orders: A decline in new orders suggests weakened demand, contributing to the contraction in manufacturing activity.
  3. Labor Market Challenges: Difficulties in hiring skilled labor have impacted production capacities, affecting overall manufacturing performance.​

In 2019, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was 47.8, indicating contraction in the manufacturing sector. During this period, gold prices experienced a significant increase of 18.3%, highlighting the inverse relationship between manufacturing activity and gold prices.


Impact on Gold Prices (XAU/USD):

Gold prices are sensitive to economic indicators that influence investor sentiment and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Contraction in manufacturing can lead to various scenarios affecting gold prices:​

  1. Weaker U.S. Dollar: Disappointing economic data can lead to a depreciation of the U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive as an alternative asset and potentially driving prices higher.​
  2. Increased Safe-Haven Demand: Economic uncertainty often boosts demand for safe-haven assets like gold, leading to price increases.

  • Contractionary manufacturing PMI readings often lead to USD depreciation and gold appreciation due to increased economic uncertainty.​
  • Expansive manufacturing PMI figures can result in USD appreciation and gold depreciation.


Previous released data results :

On last ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index data (3-3-2025) we predicted bad data, & as per that we suggest to BUY XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 36 points according to the signal we gave.  

Check the previous blog : https://blog.forextrade1.co/impact-of-bad-us-ism-manufacturing-pmi-data-on-todays-gold-prices-3-3-2025/

Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/17267
Performance : https://t.me/calendarsignal/17281

On last Services Purchasing Managers Index data (24-3-2025) we predicted good data, & as per that we suggest to SELL XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 44 points according to the signal we gave.

Check the previous blog : https://blog.forextrade1.co/gold-forecast-over-the-sp-global-manufacturing-service-pmi-data-today-on-24-3-2025/

Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/17590 Performance :https://t.me/calendarsignal/17602


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