Gold (XAUUSD) is under pressure today as a combination of strong US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and renewed Ukraine–Russia peace talk optimism pushes safe-haven demand lower. The market is reacting to two major forces:
- A solid US labor report, strengthening the US dollar and reducing recession risks.
- Geopolitical de-escalation, reducing global uncertainty and weakening demand for gold.
Today’s given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/21752
✅ Why Today’s US NFP Data is Strong – Key Economic Drivers
The November 2025 NFP report came in significantly better than expected, signaling continued economic momentum. Here are the main reasons behind the strong reading:
1️⃣ Strong Hiring in Services & Manufacturing
- Healthcare, technology, and manufacturing sectors added the highest number of jobs.
- Seasonal hiring ahead of the holiday period boosted employment figures.
2️⃣ Rising Wage Growth
- Average hourly earnings increased more than forecasts.
- Higher wages → stronger consumer spending → stronger GDP outlook.
3️⃣ Low Layoffs & Stable Jobless Claims
- Jobless claims have been trending downward for weeks.
- This shows companies are retaining workers despite global uncertainty.
4️⃣ Higher Demand from Rebounding Industries
- Transportation & logistics recovered due to eased supply chain bottlenecks.
- Construction hiring picked up as interest rates stabilized.
5️⃣ Improved Business Confidence
- Soft-landing expectations improved corporate hiring plans.
- Many companies resumed expansion projects paused earlier in the year.
Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine–Russia Peace Talks Reduce Safe-Haven Demand
Gold often rises on geopolitical fear.
Today’s renewed peace discussions are viewed as a relief for global markets:
- Lower war risk → lower demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
- Investors rotate toward equities, bonds, and USD instead.
- Volatility drops, reducing speculative gold buying.
How Strong NFP + Peace Talks Impact XAUUSD
1️⃣ Strong NFP → Strong USD → Gold Drops
A strong labor market means:
- Fed may delay rate cuts
- Real yields rise
- USD strengthens
All three factors push gold lower.
2️⃣ Peace Talks Reduce Fear Premium
- Fewer geopolitical risks = less reason to buy gold
- Investors shift to “risk-on” exposure
- Gold loses momentum from safe-haven flows
3️⃣ Stock Market Boost Hurts Gold
- Strong data lifts equity indices
- Traders move money away from gold into higher-yielding assets
4️⃣ Technical Pressure
- XAUUSD breaks below short-term support
- More downside possible if real yields continue rising
Previous released data results :
On last NFP data (24-10-2025) we predicted good NFP data, & as per that we suggest to SELL XAUUSD & as a result, we made a profit of 86 points according to the signal we gave.
Check the previous blog : https://blog.forextrade1.co/gold-in-focus-after-u-s-nfp-data-5-september-2025-market-outlook/
Check last given signal : https://t.me/calendarsignal/20278
Performance : https://t.me/calendarsignal/20302
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